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Validation

How we are testing the claim

The existence of the potential is established in peer-reviewed literature. Its quantitative relationship to fuel moisture is not, and we do not present it as though it were. This page sets out the programme that will settle it.

Dried soil with desiccation cracks

Programme

Four steps, in this order

  1. Control experiments Bench and plot work that separates a plant signal from an electrode effect, using identical electrodes, dead-wood controls and soil-only controls.

  2. Pre-registered protocol A protocol registered in advance with an independent academic partner, including the pass criteria, before any field data is collected.

  3. Field deployment Instrumented stands with paired reference sampling on a fixed schedule, across more than one species and more than one season.

  4. Publication Release of the interim analysis, whatever it shows, with the raw series available to the reviewing partner.

Method

What is measured against what

Sensor readingReference methodCadence
Xylem-to-soil potentialGravimetric fuel moisture, oven-dried samplesReference weekly, sensor continuous
Xylem-to-soil potentialStem water potential, pressure chamberReference weekly, midday
Node-local conditionsCo-sited temperature and humidity loggerContinuous
Node-local conditionsNearest official weather station recordHourly

Status

Claim by claim, where the evidence stands

Xylem-to-soil potential of 50–200 mV

Peer reviewed

Under-canopy conditions differ from open-clearing weather readings

Peer reviewed

Correlation of the signal with fuel moisture

In evaluation

Multi-season electrode stability

In evaluation

Maintenance-free multi-year operation

Target

Research partners

We are looking for an independent group to hold the protocol and review the analysis. If your work touches plant electrophysiology, fuel moisture or in-situ sensing, we would like to hear from you.

Contact the programme