Skip to content

Validation

How we are testing the claim

The plant-soil electrical potential is established in peer-reviewed literature. What that signal adds to existing reference methods, and how reliably across species, sites and seasons, is not yet established. This page sets out the programme that will investigate it.

Status

Claim by claim, where the evidence stands

Xylem-to-soil potential of 50-200 mV

Peer reviewed

Under-canopy conditions differ from open-clearing weather readings

Peer reviewed

Voltage change ahead of visible drought stress, controlled study

In evaluation

Correlation of the signal with fuel moisture

In evaluation

Multi-season electrode stability

In evaluation

Incremental information over existing reference methods

In evaluation

Any lead time over conventional monitoring, reported as an open outcome

Open question

Maintenance-free multi-year operation

Target

Dried soil with desiccation cracks

Programme

Four steps, in this order

  1. Control experiments Bench and plot work that separates a plant signal from an electrode effect, using identical electrodes, dead-wood controls and soil-only controls.

  2. Pre-registered protocol A protocol registered in advance with an independent academic partner, including the pass criteria, before any field data is collected.

  3. Field deployment Instrumented stands with paired reference sampling on a fixed schedule, across more than one species and more than one season.

  4. Publication Release of the interim analysis, whatever it shows, with the raw series available to the reviewing partner.

Every programme needs criteria written down before the field season. Ours:

Discipline

Evaluation criteria

Before any field data is collected, the protocol fixes the reference methods, the comparison baselines (weather, soil and satellite data) and the analysis. The questions are whether the signal adds information beyond those baselines, and how reliably across species, sites and seasons. Any lead time is reported as an observed outcome with its uncertainty, not used as a fixed success or stop criterion. If the signal adds no useful information, we will publish that result. Formal entry in a public study registry is planned and will be referenced here with its date once filed.

Reference

The published record

MIT News, September 2008: Preventing forest fires with tree power.

Historical

US Patents 7,466,032 (2008) and 7,667,340 (2010), held by Voltree Power, Inc. They expire in 2027.

They establish twenty years of priority in the category. They are not a forward moat and we do not present them as one.

Historical

First under-canopy federal deployment, 2009.

Historical

What the patents cover

US 7,466,032 (2008) and US 7,667,340 (2010) claim drawing and using electricity from living plants, the root of the company’s twenty-year priority. Both expire in 2027, and we say so plainly. New filings on the current measurement approach precede any technical disclosure.

Prior work

University research, 2016-2017

Company-sponsored university research observed voltage changes preceding visible drought stress in a controlled study. It motivates the current programme; it is not a field result and does not establish any lead time. Field validation is the subject of the current programme; the recovered laboratory and field data are being audited as an input to its design.

In evaluation

Method

What is measured against what

Sensor readingReference methodCadence
Xylem-to-soil potentialGravimetric fuel moisture, oven-dried samplesReference weekly, sensor continuous
Xylem-to-soil potentialStem water potential, pressure chamberReference weekly, midday
Node-local conditionsCo-sited temperature and humidity loggerContinuous
Node-local conditionsNearest official weather station recordHourly

Research partners

We are looking for an independent group to hold the protocol and review the analysis. If your work touches plant electrophysiology, fuel moisture or in-situ sensing, we would like to hear from you.

Contact the programme