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Validation

How we are testing the claim

The existence of the potential is established in peer-reviewed literature. Its quantitative relationship to fuel moisture is not, and we do not present it as though it were. This page sets out the programme that will settle it.

Status

Claim by claim, where the evidence stands

Xylem-to-soil potential of 50–200 mV

Peer reviewed

Under-canopy conditions differ from open-clearing weather readings

Peer reviewed

Correlation of the signal with fuel moisture

In evaluation

Multi-season electrode stability

In evaluation

Maintenance-free multi-year operation

Target

Dried soil with desiccation cracks

Programme

Four steps, in this order

  1. Control experiments Bench and plot work that separates a plant signal from an electrode effect, using identical electrodes, dead-wood controls and soil-only controls.

  2. Pre-registered protocol A protocol registered in advance with an independent academic partner, including the pass criteria, before any field data is collected.

  3. Field deployment Instrumented stands with paired reference sampling on a fixed schedule, across more than one species and more than one season.

  4. Publication Release of the interim analysis, whatever it shows, with the raw series available to the reviewing partner.

Every programme needs an exit condition. Ours is pre-registered:

Discipline

Pass and stop criteria

The programme carries a pre-registered pass threshold: the signal must add measurable skill over a weather-only baseline. It also carries a stop criterion. If the data does not clear the threshold, we will publish that result and will not deploy further capital on the original hypothesis.

Reference

The published record

MIT News, September 2008: Preventing forest fires with tree power.

Historical

US Patents 7,466,032 (2008) and 7,667,340 (2010), held by Voltree Power, Inc. They expire in 2027.

They establish twenty years of priority in the category. They are not a forward moat and we do not present them as one.

Historical

First under-canopy federal deployment, 2009.

Historical

What the patents cover

US 7,466,032 (2008) and US 7,667,340 (2010) claim drawing and using electricity from living plants — the root of the company’s twenty-year priority. Both expire in 2027, and we say so plainly. New filings on the current measurement approach precede any technical disclosure.

Prior work

University research, 2016–2017

Company-sponsored university research observed voltage changes preceding visible drought stress in a controlled study. Field validation is the subject of the current programme; the recovered laboratory and field data are being audited as an input to its design.

In evaluation

Method

What is measured against what

Sensor readingReference methodCadence
Xylem-to-soil potentialGravimetric fuel moisture, oven-dried samplesReference weekly, sensor continuous
Xylem-to-soil potentialStem water potential, pressure chamberReference weekly, midday
Node-local conditionsCo-sited temperature and humidity loggerContinuous
Node-local conditionsNearest official weather station recordHourly

Research partners

We are looking for an independent group to hold the protocol and review the analysis. If your work touches plant electrophysiology, fuel moisture or in-situ sensing, we would like to hear from you.

Contact the programme